With that being said, I believe Gold's recent drop this week is very irrational. Because the positives far outweigh the negatives.
Positives:
- Fed is NOT tapering this year. Even if they do, they will probably reduce their purchase amount by 10 billion, at most. This reduction i believe is already priced in.
- Syria crisis is no where close to solution. What Russia is doing is a "Stall Tactic" and will fall apart pretty soon.
- Emerging market's crash is over which should increase demand in gold - India largest consumer of physical gold.
- China stimulus for their economy if happens, will make money cheap, again upside potential for gold.
- A little hint of inflation in the US $$$, which has to happen if Fed keeps the bond buying program intact, should also help raise the gold price.
Negatives:
- Rise in interest rates
- Fear of Fed Tapering
- "Great rotation" if that is really happening as market gurus are speculating then it might stall upswing.
Verdict:
I see Gold setting up stage for a massive upswing soon. Might fall further in ST but it will yield profit.
I currently hold slightly out of money calls and might add more if it falls further.
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